INSIDE STRAIGHT: MCCAIN 273, OBAMA 265

OK, here’s the inside straight that can make John McCain the president elect by the time we wake up on Wednesday morning. This scenario allows McCain to give up three Bush states, while requiring him to pick only one Kerry state.

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I “borrowed” this map from Nate Silver, a confirmed Obamaton who thinks this outcome is very unlikely but admits that it is “the scenario that Democrats are terrified about.”

And the Dems SHOULD be terrified in light of the recent revelations about Obama’s attitude toward coal-fired power plants. This video may be enough to send the undecideds in PA, OH, and WV running to McCain.

As I pointed out in this post, the Mason-Dixon poll shows close races in all these states. If McCain does win in these states, while holding on to FL and NC, he can win. And if he hangs on to VA as well, Obama’s goose is well and truly cooked.

UPDATE I:

It would appear that the McCain people see something encouraging in their internal polling numbers. Apparently, their polls echo the findings of Mason-Dixon (and now the Fox battleground survey). 

Riehl has a video of Carl Cameron discussing a new optimism among the McCain crew. Even more interesting is the fact that notoriously gloomy McCain advisor Mark Salter is suddenly smiling from ear to ear:

You know it’s a big day on the McCain campaign when Mark Salter is smiling. The senior aide to John McCain, known for his gruff demeanor, was practically giddy this morning on the campaign plane.

All this could be just whistling past the graveyard, of course. Nonetheless, I’m feeling better and better about my bet with ShadowFax.

UPDATE II:

Meanwhile, there are a number of state ballot measures and close congressional  contests that should draw social and economic conservatives to the polls in large numbers.

Proposition 8 in California, for example, will render Obama’s expected victory far less lopsided. And all men of good will are praying that John Murtha’s braying will finally catch up with him.

Michelle Malkin has a good summary.

UPDATE III:

Despite all the Orwellian claims of “Republican intimidation tactics,” it is the Dems who have a long and well-documented history of such behavior. Already, there are reports of Democrat skulduggery in Filthydelphia:

GOP Election Board members have been tossed out of polling stations in at least half a dozen polling stations in Philadelphia because of their party status.

This is illegal in Pennsylvania, but we all know that electiion laws are for Republicans only. The Dems are free to ignore them while the “news” media studiously look the other way.

Comments 4

  1. Marc Brown wrote:

    In all seriousness David your country will be so much better off with Obama on the world stage, after the terrible disaster of the Bush years. Read the New Yorker’s editorial and tell me honestly if there is really so much for you to be afraid of.

    http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2008/nov/02/elections-obama-mccain-yorker-democrats

    ‘At a moment of economic calamity, international perplexity, political failure and battered morale, America needs both uplift and realism, both change and steadiness. It needs a leader temperamentally, intellectually and emotionally attuned to the complexities of our troubled globe. That leader’s name is Barack Obama.’

    Posted 04 Nov 2008 at 4:45 am
  2. The BoBo wrote:

    See, Marc – there’s your problem! We’re Americans. We don’t really care what the world thinks of us or the elections. We are the most charitable nation on this planet. We don’t care what the world thinks. What do you think would happen to the world if we just decided to stop spending our dollars elsewhere and coming to the aide of every oppressed country out there?

    NOBama!

    Posted 04 Nov 2008 at 1:07 pm
  3. Marc B. wrote:

    ‘What do you think would happen to the world if we just decided to stop spending our dollars elsewhere and coming to the aide of every oppressed country out there?’

    Hmm… let’s see. How about at least 100,000 Iraqis still alive and 4000 young Americans who didn’t come back in a box?

    Posted 04 Nov 2008 at 2:27 pm
  4. Brian G wrote:

    Did seem to bother you when millions died durring both WWI and WWII to save the England, now did it Marc? If we had not gotten involved, you’d be speaking German right now. But at least you’d still have your rotten healthcare system.

    Posted 04 Nov 2008 at 4:53 pm

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  1. From Scroll For Updates: Election Day 2008 Open Thread | Right Voices on 04 Nov 2008 at 12:31 pm

    [...] Peaking at the Right Time! « Riggword Weblog Me, Me, Me « Mark Epstein Health Care BS – INSIDE STRAIGHT: MCCAIN 273, OBAMA 265 The Irascible Chef » Election Day 2008 Jules Crittenden » Critblogging the Vote 2008 Hit Me Two [...]

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