OK, here’s the inside straight that can make John McCain the president elect by the time we wake up on Wednesday morning. This scenario allows McCain to give up three Bush states, while requiring him to pick only one Kerry state.
I “borrowed” this map from Nate Silver, a confirmed Obamaton who thinks this outcome is very unlikely but admits that it is “the scenario that Democrats are terrified about.”
And the Dems SHOULD be terrified in light of the recent revelations about Obama’s attitude toward coal-fired power plants. This video may be enough to send the undecideds in PA, OH, and WV running to McCain.
As I pointed out in this post, the Mason-Dixon poll shows close races in all these states. If McCain does win in these states, while holding on to FL and NC, he can win. And if he hangs on to VA as well, Obama’s goose is well and truly cooked.
It would appear that the McCain people see something encouraging in their internal polling numbers. Apparently, their polls echo the findings of Mason-Dixon (and now the Fox battleground survey).
Riehl has a video of Carl Cameron discussing a new optimism among the McCain crew. Even more interesting is the fact that notoriously gloomy McCain advisor Mark Salter is suddenly smiling from ear to ear:
You know it’s a big day on the McCain campaign when Mark Salter is smiling. The senior aide to John McCain, known for his gruff demeanor, was practically giddy this morning on the campaign plane.
All this could be just whistling past the graveyard, of course. Nonetheless, I’m feeling better and better about my bet with ShadowFax.
Meanwhile, there are a number of state ballot measures and close congressional contests that should draw social and economic conservatives to the polls in large numbers.
Proposition 8 in California, for example, will render Obama’s expected victory far less lopsided. And all men of good will are praying that John Murtha’s braying will finally catch up with him.
Michelle Malkin has a good summary.
Despite all the Orwellian claims of “Republican intimidation tactics,” it is the Dems who have a long and well-documented history of such behavior. Already, there are reports of Democrat skulduggery in Filthydelphia:
GOP Election Board members have been tossed out of polling stations in at least half a dozen polling stations in Philadelphia because of their party status.
This is illegal in Pennsylvania, but we all know that electiion laws are for Republicans only. The Dems are free to ignore them while the “news” media studiously look the other way.