I’m no political guru. But, when I see people who have done big time politics for their entire adult lives predicting an Obama loss, I pay attention. Who am I talking about?
Michael Barone, perhaps the most respected and least partisan of all the political number crunchers, says Obama is history:
Bottom line: Romney 315, Obama 223. That sounds high for Romney. But he could drop Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and still win the election.
Dick Morris, who worked for Bill Clinton and predicted John Kerry would lose (even when the exit polls said he’d win) says Obama’s gone:
Romney will win the states McCain carried in 2008, plus: Florida, Indiana, Virginia, North Carolina, Colorado, Iowa, Ohio, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Minnesota. In the popular vote, Romney will win by more than 5 points.
And Dan McLaughlin, from whom I stole the above image, lays it out in excruciating detail for those who like lots of charts and graphs.
Are all these mavens wrong? Sounds like Obama aide Stephanie Cutter thinks they might well be right. We’ll know soon enough.